Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
