Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.28%) and 3-1 (4.91%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
