There have been no draws in the previous seven Serie A meetings between Salernitana and Lazio - though several occurred many years ago - and the chaos at Stadio Arechi could see that streak continue. Already dropping like a stone, the hosts must now adapt to life under Paulo Sousa, whereas their visitors' patterns of play are well ingrained thanks to 'Sarrisimo'.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.82) 
