Verona have scored 74% of their goals in the first half - the highest proportion in Serie A this season - while Salernitana have conceded 23 times before the break, which is four more than any other side.
Should the hosts take the lead again, their newfound resolve should see them over the line - bringing the prospect of safety one small step closer.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match.
0.06) 
-0.16) 
