We said: Salernitana 1-3 Lazio
Only Lazio's lame away record gives pause for deliberation before concluding that they will walk away from Salerno with maximum points this weekend.
Against Serie A's bottom side, depleted by absences again, the productive Aquile attack will prove too hot for their hosts to handle - ruthlessly exploiting their weaknesses in defence.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
