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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Feb 19, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
Nantes
Lens
3 - 1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mollet (40')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-1 Lens
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Nantes
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

 Neither side have much urgency to move the ball up the field quickly, and with two teams who are calculated in their approach and very well-organised, we expect to see a stalemate with chances at a premium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
50.69% (0.65300000000001 0.65) 25.63% (-0.21 -0.21) 23.67% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 48.63% (0.138 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (0.413 0.41)54.25% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (0.345 0.34)75.65% (-0.346 -0.35)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.45099999999999 0.45)21.43% (-0.454 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.691 0.69)54.44% (-0.693 -0.69)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.89% (-0.18 -0.18)38.11% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.13% (-0.173 -0.17)74.87% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lens 50.69%
    Nantes 23.67%
    Draw 25.62%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.98% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.073 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 23.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
60.5%
Draw
23.7%
Nantes
15.8%
38
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Nantes
0-0
Lens

Moutoussamy (79')
Apr 30, 2022 4pm
Lens
2-2
Nantes
Costa (67'), Kalimuendo (81' pen.)
Leca (19')
Simon (8', 32')
Pereira de Sa (53'), Cyprien (62'), Moutoussamy (74'), Pallois (80'), Lafont (81')
Dec 10, 2021 8pm
Nantes
3-2
Lens
Kolo (49', 57'), Simon (90')
Girotto (31'), Blas (60'), Chirivella (76')
Costa (7'), Kalimuendo (14')
Haidara (46'), Gradit (60'), Medina (61')
Jan 17, 2021 2pm
Nantes
1-1
Lens
Louza (36' pen.)
Kolo (50'), Corchia (67'), Toure (87')
Kakuta (81')
Gradit (34'), Haidara (69'), Fortes (77')
Nov 25, 2020 6pm
Lens
1-1
Nantes
Kakuta (27')
Doucoure (37'), Kakuta (64'), Gradit (78'), Bade (85')
Toure (81' pen.)
Girotto (7'), Kolo (71')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG37274687375085
2Lens37249465283781
3Marseille37227867392873
4Lille37199964432166
5Rennes372051267382965
6MonacoMonaco371981069561365
7Lyon371881164442062
8Clermont37168134247-556
9Nice371413104536955
10Lorient371410135052-252
11Reims371215104442251
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier37145186261147
13Toulouse37129164956-745
14Brest371111154352-944
15StrasbourgStrasbourg37913155057-740
16Auxerre37811183460-2635
17NantesNantes37615163655-1933
RTroyes37411224480-3623
RAjaccio3765262274-5223
RAngers3746273380-4718
> Ligue 1 Full Table
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