Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
