

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Adelaide United has a probability of 27.39% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win is 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.34%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 27.39% ( | 21.72% ( | 50.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.17% ( | 33.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.32% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( | 24.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.41% ( | 58.58% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% ( | 13.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.13% ( | 40.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-3 @ 2.07% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 6 |
| 2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 11 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
| 12 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
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