

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.82%) and 0-2 (4.94%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 38.17% ( | 22.74% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.5% ( | 34.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.57% ( | 56.43% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( | 18.72% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.91% ( | 50.09% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( | 18.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.6% ( | 49.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 2-0 @ 4.81% ( 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 4-2 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 3-3 @ 2.19% ( Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.74% | 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 3-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Macarthur | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 8 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 |
| 12 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
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