

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 65.48%. A win for Ajax has a probability of 17.31% and a draw has a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Ajax win is 1-2 (4.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (6.69%).
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 65.48% ( | 17.2% ( | 17.31% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.43% ( | 24.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.65% ( | 44.35% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.79% ( | 7.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.84% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( | 26.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.98% ( | 62.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-0 @ 5.85% ( 3-2 @ 5.08% ( 4-1 @ 5.07% ( 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 4-0 @ 3.84% ( 4-2 @ 3.34% ( 5-1 @ 2.67% ( 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.76% ( 4-3 @ 1.47% ( 6-1 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 4.98% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0-0 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 17.2% | 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0-1 @ 2.54% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 4.2% Total : 17.31% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 5 | 30 | 30 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 6 | 20 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 8 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC VolendamVolendam | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 18 | Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 5 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
