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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
70.01% ( -0) | 17.05% ( 0) | 12.94% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.28% ( 0.01) | 33.72% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.46% ( 0) | 55.54% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.37% ( 0) | 8.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.23% ( 0) | 29.77% ( 0) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.84% ( 0.01) | 38.16% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.07% ( 0.01) | 74.93% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | NEC |
2-0 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.78% 4-0 @ 4.95% 4-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.75% 5-0 @ 2.42% 5-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 2.29% 5-2 @ 1.12% 6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 6-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.12% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 7.77% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.29% 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 17.05% | 1-2 @ 3.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.47% 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 12.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |