MX23RW : Friday, April 11 07:54:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Waalwijk logo

Nijmegen
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ
Sunday, August 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 RKC Waalwijk

NEC may consider themselves unlucky to have been on the receiving end of two defeats so far this season, but the visitors have very few positives to take out of their start to the campaign. Nijmegen also have a very good home record against RKC Waalwijk, winning 6-1 in this fixture last season, so we think the hosts should be able to record a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
57.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.98% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 20.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.3% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)64.71% (0.048999999999992 0.05)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)14.55% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)42.6% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.8% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)34.2% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.89% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    NEC 57.27%
    RKC Waalwijk 20.74%
    Draw 21.98%
NECDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.24% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.27%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 5.52%
0-1 @ 5.34% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 20.74%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs RKC Waalwijk

NEC
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
RKC Waalwijk
14.3%
14
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
Nijmegen
Anita (61')
Tannane (18', 31'), Tavsan (26')
Nov 13, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 14
Nijmegen
6-1
RKC Waalwijk
Dimata (38' pen.), Elkarouani (50'), Mattsson (73'), Marques (78', 90+2'), Tavsan (88')
Van den Buijs (4' pen.)
Feb 19, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Nijmegen
1-1
RKC Waalwijk
Okita (88')
Odenthal (79'), Schone (90+1')
Van der Venne (18')
Buttner (71'), Touba (90+1'), Gaari (90+3')
Dec 5, 2021 11.15am
Gameweek 14
RKC Waalwijk
2-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (28'), Kuijpers (90+3')
Augustijns (54'), Adewoye (62'), Azhil (90')
Bruijn (16')
Marquez (47'), Odenthal (65'), Verdonk (84')
May 14, 2019 5.30pm
First Round
RKC Waalwijk
3-0
Nijmegen
Seys (41'), Spierings (62'), Bilate (70')
Tahiri (63')

Dijkstra (65'), Okita (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax28224260213970
2PSV EindhovenPSV28194581334861
3Feyenoord28168462323056
4FC UtrechtUtrecht2815855041953
5FC Twente28138754401447
6AZ AlkmaarAZ28137847321546
7Go Ahead Eagles2813695145645
8Heerenveen2897123549-1434
9Fortuna SittardSittard2896133347-1433
10Heracles28711103548-1332
11Groningen2888122741-1432
12Sparta RotterdamSparta28710113035-531
13NECNijmegen2886144042-230
14PEC Zwolle2879123443-930
15NAC BredaNAC Breda2886143048-1830
16Willem II2866162947-1824
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2847173456-2219
18Almere CityAlmere City2847172052-3219


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