Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
16.46% (![]() | 22.84% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.79% (![]() | 52.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% (![]() | 73.92% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% (![]() | 44.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% (![]() | 80.81% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% (![]() | 46.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.46% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 13.44% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.98% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 60.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 27 | 61 | 82 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 84 | 28 | 56 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 71 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 66 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 57 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 54 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 47 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 53 | -5 | 46 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 45 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 40 |
11 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 38 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 38 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 34 |
14 | Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 34 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 24 | 50 | -26 | 29 |
16 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 27 |
17 | AVS | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 25 | 60 | -35 | 27 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 24 | 59 | -35 | 24 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |