Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.98%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
16.46% (![]() | 22.84% (![]() | 60.7% (![]() |
Both teams to score 45.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.79% (![]() | 52.21% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.08% (![]() | 73.92% (![]() |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.16% (![]() | 44.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.19% (![]() | 80.81% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% (![]() | 16.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.22% (![]() | 46.78% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 6.05% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.42% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 1.48% Total : 16.46% | 1-1 @ 10.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.54% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.86% ( ![]() Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.84% | 0-1 @ 13.44% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.98% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.61% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.02% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 60.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |