Osasuna

2 - 0

Espanyol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.