La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 15, 2025 at 6pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 0
Atletico

Catena (25'), Budimir (82')
Ibanez (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Paul (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, May 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 4-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, May 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.72%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
22.31% ( -0.65)	24.16% ( 0.07)	53.52% ( 0.58)

Both teams to score 51.39% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19% (

-0.95)

49.8% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

-0.85)

71.8% (

0.85)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.09% (

-1.13)

36.91% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.3% (

-1.15)

73.69% (

1.15)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

-0.14)

18.54% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.22% (

-0.23)

49.78% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 22.31%

Atletico Madrid 53.52%

Draw 24.16%

Osasuna	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.73% Total : 22.31%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.16%	0-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.39) 0-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.52%