Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw has a probability of 23.3% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 16.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (12.06%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.96%), while for an Alaves win it is 1-0 (6.31%).
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
16.69% (![]() | 23.34% (![]() | 59.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.28% (![]() | 53.73% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.79% (![]() | 75.21% (![]() |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.56% (![]() | 45.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.72% (![]() | 81.28% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% (![]() | 17.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% (![]() | 48.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 6.31% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.69% | 1-1 @ 10.96% (![]() 0-0 @ 8% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 13.89% (![]() 0-2 @ 12.06% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.52% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.39% Total : 59.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 81 | -57 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |