Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 28.26% (  0) | 24.62% (  0) | 47.12% (  -0) | 
| Both teams to score 55.83% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.25% (  -0) | 46.75% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.99% (  0) | 69.01% (  -0) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.71% (  0) | 30.29% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% (  0) | 66.47% (  -0) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.08% (  -0) | 19.92% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.95% (  -0) | 52.05% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Espanyol | Draw | Atletico Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 7.21% 2-1 @ 6.94% 2-0 @ 4.3% (  0) 3-1 @ 2.76% 3-2 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.1% Total : 28.26% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 6.03% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 9.73% (  -0) 1-2 @ 9.38% (  -0) 0-2 @ 7.85% 1-3 @ 5.05% 0-3 @ 4.22% (  -0) 2-3 @ 3.01% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.12% |