Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 53.11% ( | 25.3% ( | 21.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.07% ( | 54.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.79% ( | 76.21% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( | 20.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( | 53.29% ( |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.48% ( | 40.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( | 77.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% ( 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 3-0 @ 5.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 53.1% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.25% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.59% |