

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 61.79% ( | 21.02% ( | 17.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.57% ( | 43.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( | 65.83% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( | 13.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.42% ( | 40.58% ( |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.32% ( | 38.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.58% ( | 75.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 6.63% ( 4-0 @ 3.49% ( 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 61.78% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.02% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 1-2 @ 4.72% ( 0-2 @ 2.36% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.19% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Real BetisBetis | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | Rayo Vallecano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Sevilla | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leganes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | AlavesAlaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Real Sociedad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Barcelona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Valencia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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