

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.47%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 45.47% (  0.41) | 28.11% (  0.05) | 26.42% (  -0.45) | 
| Both teams to score 44.25% (  -0.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 38.87% (  -0.39) | 61.12% (  0.39) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 18.91% (  -0.29) | 81.08% (  0.29) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.11% (  0.03) | 26.89% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.79% (  0.03) | 62.2% (  -0.03) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.52% (  -0.61) | 39.48% (  0.61) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.83% (  -0.57) | 76.17% (  0.57) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 13.94% (  0.21) 2-0 @ 9.16% (  0.15) 2-1 @ 8.51% (  -0) 3-0 @ 4.01% (  0.07) 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 1.73% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.32% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% (  0) Other @ 1.85% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 12.95% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.61% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 3.96% (  -0.07) Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.09% | 0-1 @ 9.87% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.02% (  -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.58% (  -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.87% (  -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.23% (  -0.04) Other @ 1.44% Total : 26.42% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 99 | 39 | 60 | 85 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 25 | 6 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 81 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 64 | 30 | 34 | 73 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 67 | 49 | 18 | 67 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 59 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 51 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 51 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 47 | 
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 46 | 
| 12 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 45 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 41 | 
| 15 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | GironaGirona | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 41 | 
| 17 | Espanyol | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 39 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 37 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 26 | 87 | -61 | 16 | 
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