

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Betis |
| 36.84% ( | 27.28% ( | 35.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( | 55.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.33% ( | 76.67% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.12% ( | 64.88% ( |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.43% ( | 29.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.41% ( | 65.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Betis |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 2.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 4-1 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 12.93% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.88% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.88% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 36 | 27 | 4 | 5 | 97 | 36 | 61 | 85 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 70 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 67 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 47 | 17 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 59 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 48 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 48 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Valencia | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 43 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | GironaGirona | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 42 | 53 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 47 | -11 | 38 |
| 18 | Leganes | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 34 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 36 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 16 |
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