

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 26.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 46.21% (  -0.57) | 27.51% (  -0.13) | 26.27% (  0.69) | 
| Both teams to score 45.71% (  0.86) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.79% (  0.83) | 59.2% (  -0.83) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.37% (  0.63) | 79.63% (  -0.64) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.37% (  0.09) | 25.63% (  -0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.48% (  0.13) | 60.52% (  -0.13) | 
| Cadiz Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.46% (  1.07) | 38.53% (  -1.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.71% (  1.01) | 75.28% (  -1.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz | 
| 1-0 @ 13.44% (  -0.39) 2-0 @ 9.15% (  -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.73% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 4.15% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.96% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 1.41% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.35% (  0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.82% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 9.88% (  -0.31) 2-2 @ 4.16% (  0.13) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.51% | 0-1 @ 9.42% (  -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.11% (  0.18) 0-2 @ 4.49% (  0.12) 1-3 @ 1.94% (  0.11) 0-3 @ 1.43% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% (  0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.27% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
