La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, January 28 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Rayo may have picked up 16 of their 24 points from away matches, but we think that they will be left empty-handed when they go against an Atletico side that has won 10 of their 11 home games in La Liga this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
59.03% ( -0.13) | 22.89% ( -0.07) | 18.08% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
