La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 24, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Sorloth (3'), Gallagher (45'), Alvarez (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ratiu (66'), Batalla (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, April 19 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, April 19 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.8%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 22.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-2 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
54.8% ( 0.06)	22.61% ( 0.05)	22.59% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 56.8% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.19% (

-0.33)

42.8% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.79% (

-0.33)

65.2% (

0.33)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.1)

15.53% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.54% (

-0.18)

44.46% (

0.18)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-0.28)

32.75% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.31)

69.31% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 54.8%

Rayo Vallecano 22.59%

Draw 22.6%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 54.8%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 22.59%