Atletico

4 - 2

Valladolid

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 65.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.