

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 29.21% ( | 26.01% ( | 44.79% ( | 
| Both teams to score 51.98% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.93% ( | 52.06% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.2% ( | 73.79% ( | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.65% ( | 32.34% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.15% ( | 68.85% ( | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 2-0 @ 4.77% ( 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 3-0 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.21%  | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26%  | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0-4 @ 1.43% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.78%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
