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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 15, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Celta Vigo logo

Valladolid
0 - 1
Celta Vigo


Moro (82'), Sylla (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alonso (83' pen.)
Alonso (37'), Alfon (56'), Mingueza (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Leganes
Saturday, March 8 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-2 Celta Vigo

Celta have struggled to play their best football on their travels this season, but Real Valladolid's form is so disappointing that it is incredibly difficult to back them to pick up a positive result - we fancy Celta to edge this match, pushing the hosts closer to the Segunda Division in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 44.79%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 29.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Celta Vigo.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
29.21% (-0.426 -0.43) 26.01% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 44.79% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-0.397 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (-0.402 -0.4)52.06% (0.399 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (-0.348 -0.35)73.79% (0.345 0.34)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.65% (-0.52199999999999 -0.52)32.34% (0.518 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.15% (-0.592 -0.59)68.85% (0.589 0.59)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.0049999999999955 0)23.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 29.21%
    Celta Vigo 44.78%
    Draw 26%
Real ValladolidDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.98% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.21%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.49% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.04% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.01% (0.129 0.13)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.61% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 44.78%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Celta Vigo

Real Valladolid
15.8%
Draw
2.6%
Celta Vigo
81.6%
38
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valladolid
Alvarez (22'), Iglesias (35'), Douvikas (90+1')
Alvarez (41'), Sotelo (61'), Rodriguez Galiano (68')
Moro (50')
Rosa (40'), San Jose Cantalejo (45+2'), Amallah (55'), Juric (84'), Latasa (87')
Martin Rielves (81')
Feb 26, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 23
Celta Vigo
3-0
Valladolid
Seferovic (17'), Veiga (32', 64')
Oct 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Valladolid
4-1
Celta Vigo
Mesa (32'), Fernandez (62'), Leon (74', 79')
Oscar (43')
Feb 28, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 25
Celta Vigo
1-1
Valladolid
Murillo (90+4')
Tapia (34'), Aidoo (90+3'), Ferreyra (90+5')
Orellana (70')
Weissman (4'), Guardiola (40'), Olaza (58'), Fernandez (90'), El Yamiq (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Valladolid
1-1
Celta Vigo
Guardiola (66' pen.)
Guardiola (61'), Bruno (80'), Sanchez (86')
Aspas (44')
Mor (25'), Beltran (41'), Mallo (65'), Aspas (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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