La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 1, 2025 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
5 - 1
Valladolid

Perez (42'), Gueye (64'), Comesana (70'), Barry (86'), Suarez (90+1')
Foyth (30')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Amallah (90+4')
Rosa (36'), Amallah (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Villarreal
Saturday, January 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valladolid 0-3 Real Madrid
Saturday, January 25 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Real Valladolid
58.13% ( -0.05)	21.34% ( 0.03)	20.52% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.11% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.35% (

-0.1)

39.65% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38% (

-0.11)

62% (

0.11)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.05)

13.4% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65% (

-0.1)

40.35% (

0.1)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.11% (

-0.04)

32.89% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

-0.04)

69.46% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 58.13%

Real Valladolid 20.52%

Draw 21.34%

Villarreal	Draw	Real Valladolid
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 58.13%	1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 20.52%