La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 1, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Villarreal5 - 1Valladolid
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Villarreal
Saturday, January 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, January 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Villarreal 2-0 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid have struggled on their travels this season, and we are finding it incredibly difficult to back anything other than a comfortable success for a Villarreal outfit that need all three points to close the gap on fourth-placed Athletic. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Valladolid |
58.13% ( -0.05) | 21.34% ( 0.03) | 20.52% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 58.11% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
