La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 17, 2025 at 8pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Espanyol2 - 1Valladolid
We said: Espanyol 1-1 Real Valladolid
There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2018, but we are struggling to separate them on this occasion. Real Valladolid have struggled badly on their travels during the 2024-25 campaign, but we are expecting the White and Violets to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
47.99% ( 0.39) | 26.98% ( -0.12) | 25.04% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.17% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
