Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.91%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (12.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Getafe in this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol | 
| 37.91% (  2.21) | 30.3% (  1.37) | 31.79% (  -3.58) | 
| Both teams to score 41.04% (  -4.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 33.74% (  -4.66) | 66.26% (  4.66) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 15.24% (  -3.32) | 84.76% (  3.32) | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.21% (  -1.02) | 33.79% (  1.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.55% (  -1.12) | 70.45% (  1.12) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.98% (  -5.05) | 38.02% (  5.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.21% (  -5.23) | 74.79% (  5.23) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Espanyol | 
| 1-0 @ 13.94% (  1.89) 2-0 @ 7.56% (  0.84) 2-1 @ 7.31% (  -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.74% (  0.23) 3-1 @ 2.65% (  -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.28% (  -0.26) Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.91% | 1-1 @ 13.48% (  0.11) 0-0 @ 12.84% (  2.04) 2-2 @ 3.54% (  -0.6) Other @ 0.44% Total : 30.3% | 0-1 @ 12.42% (  0.44) 1-2 @ 6.52% (  -0.9) 0-2 @ 6.01% (  -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.1% (  -0.64) 0-3 @ 1.94% (  -0.52) 2-3 @ 1.14% (  -0.39) Other @ 1.67% Total : 31.79% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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