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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 1pm UK
San Mames Barria
Espanyol logo

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 1
Espanyol

Vivian (6'), Williams (28', 30'), Berenguer (55')
Berchiche (45+3'), Nunez (48')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tejero (90+2')
Milla (51'), Cabrera (74'), El Hilali (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Espanyol 2-1 Mallorca
Saturday, October 5 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
60% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)23.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)16.79% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.48% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.89% (0.064999999999998 0.06)53.11% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.31% (0.055 0.05)74.69% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)17.37% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.11 0.11)44.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.087 0.09)80.89% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 59.99%
    Espanyol 16.79%
    Draw 23.21%
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 59.99%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 23.21%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 4.37% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.5% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.17% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.79%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Espanyol

Athletic Bilbao
84.0%
Draw
11.7%
Espanyol
4.3%
94
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Espanyol
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Darder (90')
Williams (22'), Williams (75')
Jan 18, 2023 7pm
Sep 4, 2022 3.15pm
Feb 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 23
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Espanyol
Sancet (5'), Martinez (16')
Vesga (62'), Petxarroman (87'), Martinez (90+3')
Vilhena (3')
Morlanes (15'), Lopez (70'), Gil (75')
Oct 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Espanyol
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
De Tomas (33' pen.)
Herrera (73')
de Tomas (90+3')
Williams (52')
Berenguer (75'), Alvarez (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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