

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 51.99% (  -0.07) | 25.11% (  0.2) | 22.91% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 49.3% (  -0.75) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 47.06% (  -0.92) | 52.94% (  0.92) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 25.46% (  -0.79) | 74.54% (  0.79) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.64% (  -0.39) | 20.36% (  0.39) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.23% (  -0.63) | 52.77% (  0.63) | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 61.9% (  -0.64) | 38.1% (  0.64) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.14% (  -0.62) | 74.86% (  0.62) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 12.34% (  0.29) 2-0 @ 9.82% (  0.12) 2-1 @ 9.48% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 5.03% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.43% (  -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.07% (  -0.03) 4-1 @ 2% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.97% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.63% Total : 51.98% | 1-1 @ 11.91% (  0.08) 0-0 @ 7.76% (  0.28) 2-2 @ 4.58% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.49% (  0.14) 1-2 @ 5.75% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.61% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% (  -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.47% (  -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.16% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.91% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
