

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Sevilla |
| 36.85% ( | 29.25% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.29% ( | 62.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.74% ( | 82.25% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% ( | 32.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.86% ( | 69.13% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.44% ( | 34.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.73% ( | 71.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 2.81% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 4% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.24% | 0-1 @ 11.96% ( 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.25% Total : 33.89% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
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