

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria | 
| 49.94% (  -0.63) | 24.76% (  0.31) | 25.3% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 52.87% (  -0.64) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.52% (  -1) | 49.48% (  1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.48% (  -0.9) | 71.51% (  0.91) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.17% (  -0.65) | 19.83% (  0.65) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.08% (  -1.06) | 51.92% (  1.06) | 
| Almeria Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.95% (  -0.26) | 34.05% (  0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.26% (  -0.28) | 70.73% (  0.28) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mallorca | Draw | Almeria | 
| 1-0 @ 10.92% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 9.52% (  -0.07) 2-0 @ 8.84% (  0) 3-1 @ 5.14% (  -0.14) 3-0 @ 4.77% (  -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.77% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.08% (  -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.93% (  -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.12% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.77% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 6.75% (  0.27) 2-2 @ 5.13% (  -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.99% (  -0.04) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.28% (  0.24) 1-2 @ 6.34% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 3.92% (  0.1) 1-3 @ 2.28% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.41% (  0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.3% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
