

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 36.07%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 36.07% ( | 29.76% ( | 34.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.74% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.55% ( | 83.45% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% ( | 33.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% ( | 35.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.98% ( | 72.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Mallorca |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 13.48% ( 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.79% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 12.48% ( 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.12% Total : 34.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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