

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
| 65.06% ( | 20.37% ( | 14.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.49% ( | 45.51% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.16% ( | 67.84% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( | 13.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.07% ( | 39.93% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.66% ( | 43.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.42% ( | 79.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
| 2-0 @ 11.72% ( 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 3-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-2 @ 4.1% ( Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0-2 @ 2% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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