La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico3 - 1Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Girona 3-2 Betis
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, March 31 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Girona
This is a really difficult match to call, as Girona will fancy their chances of taking advantage of Atletico's energy-sapping contest against Dortmund. Girona's recent away form cannot be ignored, though, and we are backing Simeone's side to edge what should be a very interesting fixture in the Spanish capital. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Girona had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Girona |
50.36% ( -0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.01) | 26.53% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.51% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
