

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 56.93% ( | 23% ( | 20.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( | 47.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( | 69.85% ( |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.49% ( | 16.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.75% ( | 46.25% ( |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.06% ( | 37.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.29% ( | 74.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.93% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 44 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
| 19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 73 | -52 | 16 |
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