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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
5 - 0
Las Palmas

Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very difficult game for Atletico, with Las Palmas so impressive this season. Simeone's side have been excellent at home in 2023-24, though, and we are backing the Red and Whites to navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
56.93% (1.255 1.26) 23% (-0.272 -0.27) 20.07% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.104 -0.1)47.65% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.85% (0.095999999999989 0.1)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.405 0.41)16.51% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.722 0.72)46.25% (-0.722 -0.72)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-1.065 -1.07)37.94% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-1.047 -1.05)74.71% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 56.93%
    Las Palmas 20.07%
    Draw 23%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.313 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.155 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.07%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
8.3%
Las Palmas
6.5%
108
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
Jan 10, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Atletico
2-3
Las Palmas
Griezmann (49'), Correa (61')
Correa (35'), Lucas (45'), Gabi (69')
Livaja (58', 89'), Ezequiel Garcia (93')
Cabrera Momo (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona32234588325673
2Real Madrid31206564313366
3Atletico MadridAtletico32189553272663
4Athletic Bilbao311512449252457
5Villarreal30149753401351
6Real BetisBetis3113994239348
7Mallorca32128123137-644
8Celta Vigo32127134749-243
9Rayo Vallecano321011113539-441
10Real Sociedad31125143034-441
11Getafe32109133129239
12Espanyol31108133440-638
13Osasuna3181493644-838
14Valencia32911123648-1238
15Sevilla3199133442-836
16GironaGirona3197153848-1034
17Las PalmasLas Palmas3288163852-1432
18AlavesAlaves3179153345-1230
19Leganes32611152948-1929
20Real ValladolidValladolid3144232173-5216


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