We said: New York Red Bulls 2-1 DC United
Although the Red Bulls have been inconsistent during the opening two months of the campaign, we cannot ignore the dismal run of their opponents. With that in mind, we are backing the home side to come through in a competitive encounter, potentially helped by a fast start.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for DC United had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.