Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
38.86% (![]() | 26.13% (![]() | 35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.14% (![]() | 50.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.26% (![]() | 72.74% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% (![]() | 25.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% (![]() | 60.53% (![]() |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% (![]() | 27.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.54% (![]() | 63.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 9.72% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.31% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.86% | 1-1 @ 12.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.13% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.94% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.85% Total : 35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 27 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 26 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
4 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 24 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 24 |
6 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 22 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
8 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
10 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
11 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 21 |
12 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
13 | Toronto | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 6 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
3 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 22 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 19 |
7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 17 |
8 | Dallas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 17 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 17 |
10 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 11 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | -17 | 7 |
15 | San Diego FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |