| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 6 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 49.69% ( | 24.55% ( | 25.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( | 48.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( | 70.39% ( |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( | 19.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.71% ( | 51.29% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67% ( | 33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.41% ( | 69.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.69% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.45% Total : 25.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
| 5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
| 8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
| 9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
| 4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
| 5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |
