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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 28 | -3 | 35 |
| 6 | Toronto | 29 | -5 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 28 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 48.69% ( | 24.19% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( | 45.68% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( | 68% ( |
| New England Revolution Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.15% ( | 18.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.7% ( | 50.29% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( | 30.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.17% ( | 66.83% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| New England Revolution | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 2-0 @ 8.03% ( 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-2 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.69% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3% Total : 27.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 14 |
| 2 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 5 | Nashville SCNashville | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | New York City FCNY City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Toronto | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | DC United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 15 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Dallas | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 3 |
