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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CF Montreal | 25 | 2 | 43 | 
| 3 | New York City FC | 24 | 19 | 42 | 
| 4 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 5 | 37 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 75.53%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 9.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Charlotte FC win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC | 
| 75.53% (  0.61) | 15% (  -0.22) | 9.47% (  -0.39) | 
| Both teams to score 51.59% (  -0.81) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 66.19% (  -0.2) | 33.81% (  0.2) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 44.35% (  -0.23) | 55.65% (  0.23) | 
| New York City FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 92.52% (  0.08) | 7.48% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.13% (  0.2) | 26.88% (  -0.2) | 
| Charlotte FC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.76% (  -0.92) | 44.24% (  0.92) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.68% (  -0.76) | 80.32% (  0.76) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| New York City FC | Draw | Charlotte FC | 
| 2-0 @ 11.12% (  0.21) 3-0 @ 9.61% (  0.22) 2-1 @ 9.07% (  -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.58% (  0.12) 3-1 @ 7.84% (  -0.02) 4-0 @ 6.23% (  0.16) 4-1 @ 5.08% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 3.23% (  0.1) 3-2 @ 3.2% (  -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.64% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 2.07% (  -0.05) 6-0 @ 1.4% (  0.05) 6-1 @ 1.14% (  0.01) 5-2 @ 1.08% (  -0.02) Other @ 3.23% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 7% (  -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.7% (  -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.31% (  0.04) Other @ 1% Total : 15% | 1-2 @ 2.85% (  -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.7% (  -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.1% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.01% (  -0.06) Other @ 1.81% Total : 9.47% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 | 
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 | 
| 5 | New York City FCNY City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 15 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 
| 7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | DC United | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 
| 9 | Orlando City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 14 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 11 | Toronto | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 | 
| 12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 12 | 
| 13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 | 
| 14 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 | 
| 15 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 
| 4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 | 
| 5 | Dallas | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 
| 6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 
| 7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 12 | 
| 10 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 | 
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 | 
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 | 
| 13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 | 
| 14 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 6 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
