| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 21 | 2 | 35 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 21 | 5 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 19 | 42 |
| 2 | New York City FC | 21 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 7 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a New York City FC win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for CF Montreal has a probability of 37.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest CF Montreal win is 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 37.12% ( | 24.91% ( | 37.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.77% ( | 45.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.42% ( | 67.57% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( | 24.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.74% ( | 58.26% ( |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( | 23.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.38% ( | 57.62% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | New York City FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 4-1 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 72 | 26 | 46 | 67 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 63 | 50 | 13 | 65 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 64 | 56 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 47 | 56 | -9 | 48 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 48 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 46 |
| 9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 42 |
| 10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 42 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 13 | Toronto | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 71 | -35 | 27 |
