Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 12.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.65%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
