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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | New York Red Bulls | 20 | 7 | 33 |
| 3 | CF Montreal | 19 | 0 | 29 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 3 | 26 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 21 | -12 | 20 |
| 9 | Toronto | 20 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | DC United | 18 | -15 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Toronto win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 62.2% ( | 20.46% ( | 17.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.24% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.34% ( | 40.65% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% ( |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( | 12.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.44% ( | 38.56% ( |
| Toronto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.15% ( | 36.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.37% ( | 73.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Toronto |
| 2-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 3-0 @ 6.89% ( 3-1 @ 6.88% ( 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 4-1 @ 3.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 5-1 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.59% Total : 62.2% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 1-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 17.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
