Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Montreal Impact had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Montreal Impact win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
64.26% | 20.28% | 15.46% |
Both teams to score 51.63% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% | 43.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.25% | 65.75% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.23% | 12.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.95% | 39.05% |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.19% | 40.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.61% | 77.39% |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | CF Montreal |
2-0 @ 11.03% 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 3.9% 4-1 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.22% Total : 64.25% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 4.43% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.28% | 0-1 @ 4.67% 1-2 @ 4.31% 0-2 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.33% 1-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 38 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 33 |
4 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 32 |
5 | Orlando City | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 30 |
6 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 26 |
9 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 25 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
13 | Toronto | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 19 |
14 | DC United | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 18 |