Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
76.61% (![]() | 14.89% (![]() | 8.5% (![]() |
Both teams to score 47.49% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% (![]() | 58.93% (![]() |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.07% (![]() | 7.93% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.97% (![]() | 28.03% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.58% (![]() | 48.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.46% (![]() | 83.54% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 12.33% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.41% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.95% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.79% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.74% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6% | 1-1 @ 7.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |