Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 43.12%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 30.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.