Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.