| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 10 | Lille | 38 | 0 | 55 |
| 11 | Brest | 38 | -8 | 48 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Nice | 38 | 16 | 67 |
| 5 | Rennes | 38 | 42 | 66 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 38 | 17 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 40.13% ( | 26.46% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.53% ( | 52.46% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.86% ( | 74.14% ( |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.31% ( | 25.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.39% ( | 60.61% ( |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.32% ( | 65.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lille | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 7.03% ( 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 4-0 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 40.12% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 54 | 17 | 37 | 54 |
| 2 | Marseille | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 46 |
| 3 | Lens | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 45 |
| 4 | MonacoMonaco | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 29 | 17 | 41 |
| 5 | Rennes | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Lille | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 38 |
| 7 | Lorient | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Lyon | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 32 |
| 9 | Nice | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 31 |
| 10 | Clermont | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Reims | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 29 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Brest | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 16 | Troyes | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 19 |
| 17 | Ajaccio | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 18 |
| 18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 15 |
| 19 | Auxerre | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 46 | -28 | 13 |
| 20 | Angers | 21 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 18 | 47 | -29 | 8 |
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